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基于原论文生成实际检索式,查看相似文献与相关研究数量变化。

临床队列临床研究Nature medicine

Insights into early-onset colorectal cancer from a single-nucleus RNA-seq atlas of colorectal cancer across the age continuum.

0 次引用趋势数据不足

早发性结直肠癌(EO-CRC,50岁前确诊)的全球发病率持续上升,但与其生物学特征相关的分子差异尚不明确。为此,研究者构建了涵盖八个十年年龄段、共189例原发性结直肠癌肿瘤(54例EO-CRC,135例AO-CRC)的单核RNA测序图谱,并按微卫星状态分层,同时考虑肿瘤侧别、分期、患者性别及新辅助治疗史。结果显示,在微卫星稳定肿瘤中,年轻患者肿瘤表现为基质比例增加、上皮比例减少,该结果在712例MSS CRC外部队列中得到多光谱免疫荧光和机器学习验证。年轻患者肿瘤上皮细胞的长非编码RNA和FN1表达增加,拷贝数改变异质性呈增加趋势。MSS左侧EO-CRC肿瘤的细胞间相互作用更多,上皮-间质转化相关信号通路(FN1/GDF/ACTIVIN)的细胞类型特异性相互作用增强。该高分辨率图谱揭示了结直肠癌的年龄相关特征,为理解EO-CRC生物学提供了资源。

为什么值得关注

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完整作者

Caroline B M Porter、Shane P Murphy、Jules Cazaubiel、Toni M Delorey、Liat Amir-Zilberstein、Orr Ashenberg、Liubou Klindziuk、Elizabeth Andrews、William Tan、Kosuke Matsuda、Atsushi Kondo、Satoko Ugai、Tomotaka Ugai、Shuji Ogino、Emily Finan、Jacques Deguine、Ewa Sicinska、Lauren K Brais、Jennifer S Thalappillil、Marios Giannakis、Ramnik J Xavier、Ana C Anderson、Kimmie Ng

作者机构

  • Klarman Cell Observatory, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA.
  • Department of Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
  • Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA.
  • Program in Molecular Pathological Epidemiology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
  • Department of Pathology, Keio University, Tokyo, Japan.
  • Division of Integrative Cancer Science, National Cancer Center Research Institute, Tokyo, Japan.
  • Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
  • Division of Nutrition, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
  • Institute of Science Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
  • Klarman Cell Observatory, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA. rxavier@broadinstitute.org.
  • Center for Computational and Integrative Biology, Department of Molecular Biology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. rxavier@broadinstitute.org.
  • Gene Lay Institute of Immunology and Inflammation of Brigham and Women's Hospital, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. rxavier@broadinstitute.org.
  • Gene Lay Institute of Immunology and Inflammation of Brigham and Women's Hospital, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. acanderson@bwh.harvard.edu.
  • Ann Romney Center for Neurologic Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. acanderson@bwh.harvard.edu.
  • Department of Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. Kimmie_Ng@DFCI.HARVARD.EDU.

技术路线

189例原发CRC肿瘤(54例EO-CRC、135例AO-CRC)单核RNA测序构建图谱→按微卫星状态分层并纳入肿瘤部位、分期、性别、新辅助治疗史,以连续或分类年龄建模分析→外部712例MSS CRC队列(18例EO-CRC、694例AO-CRC)经多光谱免疫荧光与机器学习验证基质/上皮比例差异

最近 5 个完整年度引用趋势

0110202102022020230202402025

不含 2026 年,仅展示最近 5 个完整年度。

数据来源:openalex更新时间:2026/10/30 19:00

实际检索式

Insights OR early-onset OR colorectal OR cancer OR single-nucleus OR machine learning OR single cell OR multicenter数据更新时间:2026/11/01 17:36

相关研究数量

数量受检索式影响
09501419002817425020211730742022165847202317234920241900282025

仅展示最近 5 个完整年度,不包含 2026 年 YTD。

2026 年 · YTD154781

年初至今数量单独展示,不与完整年度直接比较。

DeepSeek 选题建议

4 个候选方向

AI 推断的潜在研究机会,不代表未被研究。请结合下方真实检索结果进一步判断。

单细胞分辨率下早发性结直肠癌肿瘤微环境年龄梯度的免疫细胞状态与细胞通讯网络:基于公开snRNA-seq图谱的二次分析

研究问题
在微卫星稳定型早发性结直肠癌中,肿瘤微环境中免疫细胞亚群的状态组成和细胞-细胞通讯网络是否随年龄连续变化,并独立于肿瘤部位、分期和性别?
暴露 / 干预
诊断年龄(连续变量及EO-CRC vs AO-CRC分类),以及由原图谱提供的细胞类型比例、免疫细胞亚群状态丰度和配体-受体互作评分
研究结局
免疫细胞亚群组成差异、免疫检查点与EMT相关通讯强度、上皮-间质比例,以及这些特征与年龄的关联模式
数据来源
原论文公开的snRNA-seq图谱(189例原发CRC,含54例EO-CRC和135例AO-CRC)及配套临床注释;公开单细胞数据库如GEO/EGA中可获取的CRC snRNA/scRNA-seq数据作为外部验证
研究设计
基于已发表snRNA-seq图谱的二次生物信息学分析;年龄作为连续变量建模,并按MSI状态、肿瘤侧别、分期、性别和术前治疗分层;外部数据集用于方向性验证
推荐理由
原论文已报道年轻MSS肿瘤间质比例增加、上皮比例下降及FN1/GDF/ACTIVIN相关EMT通讯增强,说明年龄相关差异存在于微环境层面;但原分析以细胞类型比例和部分通路为主,未系统解析免疫亚群状态与年龄连续梯度。本方向以原图谱为数据基础,属对已有数据的再分析推断,不宣称新数据或国际空白;其证据边界在于原图谱样本量在部分年龄十年段仅约20例,免疫亚群层面的年龄连续建模统计效能有限。
创新点说明
与原论文的区别在于聚焦免疫细胞状态和通讯网络的年龄连续梯度,而非重复其上皮/间质比例和FN1通路描述;与现有EOCRC临床预后或机器学习预测文献不同,本方向不构建诊断模型,而是解析微环境年龄相关性。该方向为基于现有数据的推断性再分析,不能视为全新领域。
风险提示
偏倚风险:原图谱的年龄分层样本量不均,免疫亚群比例受解离和测序深度影响;年龄与肿瘤部位、分期高度相关,残余混杂难以完全消除;二次分析受原始注释粒度限制。可行性风险:需确认原数据访问权限和临床变量完整性;外部验证数据集在EO-CRC例数上可能严重不足(现有外部队列仅18例EO-CRC),验证能力有限。

早发性与平均发病年龄结直肠癌中FN1及长链非编码RNA上皮表达的年龄关联:利用公共bulk转录组队列的独立验证研究

研究问题
原snRNA-seq发现的年轻患者上皮细胞FN1和长链非编码RNA表达升高,能否在独立的bulk RNA-seq结直肠癌队列中按年龄重现,并在调整MSI状态、侧别、分期和性别后保持稳健?
暴露 / 干预
诊断年龄(连续及EO-CRC/AO-CRC分类)
研究结局
肿瘤上皮相关基因表达评分(包括FN1和候选lncRNA),以及基于反卷积估计的上皮/间质比例
数据来源
TCGA-COAD/READ公共bulk RNA-seq与临床数据;GEO中具有年龄注释的CRC表达谱队列(如GSE39582等);原论文外部多重免疫荧光队列的已发表汇总结果仅作方向性对照,不重新分析原始图像
研究设计
回顾性观察性队列研究;多队列独立验证;以年龄为暴露的线性模型和分类模型,调整MSI状态、肿瘤侧别、分期、性别和术前治疗;采用反卷积方法估计细胞组成
推荐理由
原论文在snRNA-seq中发现年轻MSS肿瘤上皮细胞FN1和lncRNA表达增加,并显示间质比例升高;这些发现需要独立人群验证。公共bulk队列提供了年龄注释和较大样本量,但bulk数据无法分辨单细胞状态,只能验证组织水平信号。该方向为假设验证性推断,不能宣称首次发现;若公共队列中EO-CRC例数少,年龄连续建模比分类比较更可行。
创新点说明
与原论文的snRNA-seq发现形成验证关系,而非同义复述;与现有EOCRC GWAS和预后模型文献不同,聚焦于原图谱提名基因在独立队列中的年龄关联可重复性。该方向的价值在于验证而非首创。
风险提示
偏倚风险:公共队列的年龄分布偏向老年,EO-CRC样本量小导致分类比较效能不足;TCGA术前治疗信息不完整;反卷积估计存在模型依赖偏差;年龄与分子亚型混杂。可行性风险:部分GEO队列年龄字段缺失或分段粗糙;lncRNA注释在不同平台间不一致,需预先限定候选lncRNA列表。

年龄连续梯度下结直肠癌上皮细胞拷贝数变异异质性与FN1表达的关系:基于原snRNA-seq数据的计算推断研究

研究问题
在MSS结直肠癌中,肿瘤上皮细胞的拷贝数变异异质性是否随诊断年龄连续变化,并与FN1表达和EMT相关通讯强度相关?
暴露 / 干预
诊断年龄(连续变量)及上皮细胞FN1表达水平
研究结局
单细胞水平推断的拷贝数变异异质性评分(如CNV熵或克隆多样性指标)、上皮细胞状态组成、FN1表达
数据来源
原论文公开的snRNA-seq图谱中上皮细胞的表达矩阵和推断CNV结果;外部验证可选用具有scRNA-seq和CNV推断的公共CRC数据集
研究设计
基于snRNA-seq数据的计算推断研究;按MSI状态分层,以年龄为连续暴露,评估CNV异质性与FN1表达的关联;采用混合效应模型处理患者内细胞相关性;外部数据集方向性验证
推荐理由
原论文报告年轻患者上皮细胞FN1和lncRNA表达增加,并提到拷贝数变异异质性有增加趋势但未达显著;该趋势值得在连续年龄建模和更明确的异质性指标下检验。本方向属对原数据的深入计算分析,证据基础是原论文的描述性趋势,推断边界在于CNV推断受测序深度和正常细胞污染影响,趋势转为正式检验可能仍不显著。
创新点说明
与原论文的区别在于将CNV异质性作为主要结局并连续建模年龄,而不是仅作为辅助描述;与现有EOCRC分子流行病学文献不同,不涉及胚系变异或环境暴露。该方向为原数据再分析,不能宣称独立发现。
风险提示
偏倚风险:snRNA-seq的CNV推断准确性有限,尤其低覆盖基因;年龄与肿瘤纯度相关,可能混淆异质性评分;患者内细胞非独立。可行性风险:需获取原始表达矩阵和CNV推断中间文件;外部验证数据集的CNV推断方法需与主分析一致,否则可比性差。

早发性结直肠癌年龄相关上皮与间质特征的转录组代理指标在公共临床队列中的预后关联探索

研究问题
由原snRNA-seq图谱衍生的年龄相关上皮/间质特征评分,在公共结直肠癌临床队列中是否与总生存或无病生存相关,且该关联在年轻患者中是否不同?
暴露 / 干预
基于原图谱上皮和间质细胞差异表达基因构建的特征评分(连续变量)
研究结局
总生存期和无病生存期
数据来源
TCGA-COAD/READ;GEO中具有生存随访的CRC队列(如GSE39582、GSE17536等)
研究设计
回顾性观察性队列研究;将原snRNA-seq衍生的基因签名投影到bulk转录组;Cox比例风险模型评估评分与生存的关联,并按年龄(<50 vs ≥50)分层及交互检验;调整分期、MSI状态、侧别、性别和治疗
推荐理由
原论文发现年轻MSS肿瘤间质比例增加、上皮FN1和lncRNA表达升高及EMT通讯增强,提示这些年龄相关特征可能具有临床相关性;但原论文未报告生存关联。本方向将图谱特征转化为可投影评分并在公共队列中检验预后关联,属探索性推断,不能宣称因果或临床效用;证据边界在于签名投影会丢失单细胞分辨率,且公共队列的EO-CRC样本量小。
创新点说明
与原论文的图谱描述不同,本方向检验年龄相关微环境特征的预后意义;与现有EOCRC预后因素研究(如基于临床和MMR的模型)不同,使用单细胞衍生的上皮/间质特征评分。该方向为假设生成性,不能宣称国际空白。
风险提示
偏倚风险:签名投影受批次效应和平台差异影响;EO-CRC亚组事件数少,分层分析效能不足;年龄与治疗选择和分期混杂;生存数据随访时长不一。可行性风险:需预先注册签名构建和投影方法以避免过拟合;公共队列年龄字段和生存终点定义需统一;原图谱签名在bulk数据中的可迁移性未知。

相似文献

10 篇

Screening for Colorectal Cancer.

The Surgical clinics of North America · 2023
Matthew Jacobsson、Vitas Wagner、Shalini Kanneganti

Colorectal cancer remains the third leading cause of cancer death in the United States. Colorectal cancer screening allows for prevention and early detection of precancerous and cancerous lesions, and screening has been shown to be effective in preventing colorectal cancer deaths. Screening recommendations vary by patient risk profile. A variety of screening modalities exist.

How advances in machine learning drive early detection and risk prediction of early-onset colorectal cancer

Frontiers in Oncology · 2026
S. Murthy、Anna Schuh

Early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC), defined as colorectal cancer diagnosed before age 50, is rising across high- and middle-income settings whilst organised screening stays anchored to older age thresholds. Blood-based liquid biopsy, combined with machine learning, is the most plausible route to early detection in this group because it does not depend on bowel preparation, endoscopy capacity, or adherence to stool-based testing. The gap is structural: incidence climbs fastest in the population below the age at which any guideline-endorsed modality is offered. The analytical challenge is that early-stage tumour-derived signals in plasma are low in abundance and distributed across heterogeneous molecular layers: circulating tumour DNA mutations, aberrant methylation, cfDNA fragmentomics, and small non-coding RNA. Machine learning converts these into a single calibrated probability. This review examines where artificial intelligence (AI)-driven liquid biopsy genuinely adds diagnostic value in EOCRC, distinguishes components in which learned models are decorative from those in which they are mechanistically necessary, and identifies the validation deficit separating research cohorts from deployable clinical tools. It summarises the first-generation tools used clinically for early detection and post-treatment monitoring, then considers analytes from exosome-bound microRNAs to long-read whole-genome sequencing of circulating plasma DNA, which reads cytosine modification natively, resolves methylation and fragmentation on single molecules, and characterises structural events short reads cannot anchor. Any analyte can feed a learned model, but more diverse input yields better discrimination. The central argument is that approved, guideline-included blood tests were validated in populations aged 45 and above, and their performance in younger patients cannot be assumed.

Molecular and clinical insights into early-onset endometrial cancer.

Trends in cancer · 2025
Zimeng Wu、Zhe Hu、Qinlan Li 等

The global incidence of endometrial cancer is on the rise, marked by a notable surge in early-onset endometrial cancer (EOEC; age at diagnosis <50 years). By contrast to late-onset cases, EOEC displays distinct clinical, pathological, and molecular characteristics. The enhanced understanding of the disease's pathophysiology, enabling a more precise differentiation between low-risk and high-risk patients, could facilitate the establishment of risk-stratified treatments that preserve ovarian function and fertility in low-risk EOEC cases. In this review, we delve into the distinctive epidemiological, molecular, and clinical characteristics of EOEC, as well as early noninvasive screening and fertility preservation treatments.

A retrospective study of differential prognostic factors in early-onset versus late-onset colorectal cancer: a comprehensive clinical and machine learning analysis

PeerJ · 2026
Li-Fang Huang、Run-Tao Zhong、Kang-Kang Li 等

Background The incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC; age <50 years) has been increasing worldwide. This single-center retrospective study aimed to compare the clinical characteristics of EO-CRC and late-onset CRC (LO-CRC; age ≥ 50 years) and to identify age-specific prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). Methods A total of 1,148 CRC patients were retrospectively analyzed and categorized into EO-CRC (n = 247) and LO-CRC (n = 901) groups. Clinical characteristics were compared using the Mann–Whitney U test and Chi-square test. Prognostic factors associated with OS were identified using Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression followed by multivariate Cox modeling. Model performance was evaluated using the C-index, calibration curves, and time-dependent Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis. Variable importance was further validated using a random survival forest (RSF) model. Results EO-CRC patients showed higher proportions of family history, concurrent polyps, and Programmed Cell Death Ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression >10%, whereas LO-CRC patients exhibited higher rates of hypertension, diabetes, and elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels. Although OS did not differ significantly between groups (P = 0.460), their prognostic determinants varied markedly. In EO-CRC, distant metastasis, family history, Tumor, Node, and Metastasis (TNM) stage, PMS1 homolog 2, mismatch repair system component (PMS2), MutS Homolog 6 (MSH6), tumor size, concurrent polyps, and Ki-67 were major predictors. In LO-CRC, age, BRAF gene V600E mutation (BRAF V600E) mutation, elevated Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), Ki-67, low hemoglobin, vascular invasion, MutL Homolog 1 (MLH1), and pathological type were significant contributors. The C-index values for the EO-CRC and LO-CRC models were 0.829 (SE = 0.023) and 0.751 (SE = 0.018), respectively, and all time-dependent ROC curves demonstrated Area Under the Curve (AUCs) above 0.70, indicating good predictive performance. RSF analyses further confirmed that distant metastasis and family history as the strongest predictors, while age and BRAF V600E are the strongest predictors for LO-CRC. Conclusion This study suggests that EO-CRC and LO-CRC have fundamentally different prognostic determinants: the former emphasizes genetic susceptibility and tumor invasiveness, indicating that this group of patients may benefit from early genetic counseling, MMR/MSI testing, and immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy. The latter highlights age, acquired molecular changes, and chronic systemic factors, supporting the inclusion of metabolic and geriatric assessments in routine tumor care.

Hereditary Colorectal Cancer.

Hematology/oncology clinics of North America · 2022
Heather Hampel、Matthew F Kalady、Rachel Pearlman 等

Around 10% to 16% of colorectal cancer patients have a pathogenic variant in a cancer susceptibility gene. Some of these variants are in cancer genes that are associated with colorectal cancer while others are not. The hereditary colorectal cancer syndromes can be divided into two major categories, the nonpolyposis and the polyposis conditions. The nonpolyposis conditions can be divided into those that lead to colorectal tumors with defective mismatch repair and those that do not. The polyposis conditions are further divided by predominant histology into the adenomatous, hamartomatous, serrated, and mixed polyposis conditions. All of these conditions are described in detail herein.

Fusobacterium nucleatum Promotes Chemoresistance to Colorectal Cancer by Modulating Autophagy.

Cell · 2017
TaChung Yu、Fangfang Guo、Yanan Yu 等

Gut microbiota are linked to chronic inflammation and carcinogenesis. Chemotherapy failure is the major cause of recurrence and poor prognosis in colorectal cancer patients. Here, we investigated the contribution of gut microbiota to chemoresistance in patients with colorectal cancer. We found that Fusobacterium (F.) nucleatum was abundant in colorectal cancer tissues in patients with recurrence post chemotherapy, and was associated with patient clinicopathological characterisitcs. Furthermore, our bioinformatic and functional studies demonstrated that F. nucleatum promoted colorectal cancer resistance to chemotherapy. Mechanistically, F. nucleatum targeted TLR4 and MYD88 innate immune signaling and specific microRNAs to activate the autophagy pathway and alter colorectal cancer chemotherapeutic response. Thus, F. nucleatum orchestrates a molecular network of the Toll-like receptor, microRNAs, and autophagy to clinically, biologically, and mechanistically control colorectal cancer chemoresistance. Measuring and targeting F. nucleatum and its associated pathway will yield valuable insight into clinical management and may ameliorate colorectal cancer patient outcomes.

Integrated muti-omics data and machine learning reveal CD151 as a key biomarker inducing chemoresistance in metabolic syndrome-related early-onset left-sided colorectal cancer

Functional & Integrative Genomics · 2025
Ying-Dong Hou、Hu-Bin Xia、Chen-Shan Xu 等

Emerging evidence has suggested a potential pathological association between early-onset left-sided colorectal cancer (EOLCC) and metabolic syndrome (MetS). However, the underlying genetic and molecular mechanisms remain insufficiently elucidated. This study aimed to identify and characterize key biomarkers associated with the progression and treatment response of MetS-related EOLCC. An in-hospital cohort was utilized to assess the clinical implications of primary tumor location in early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC). Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and weighted gene coexpression network analysis (WGCNA) were employed to identify genes potentially associated with MetS-related EOLCC. Functional enrichment analyses were conducted to explore the underlying mechanisms. Candidate biomarkers were screened using random forest (RF) and support vector machine-recursive feature elimination (SVM-RFE) algorithms. Survival relevance, expression profiles, and diagnostic performance were analyzed to identify key biomarkers. Treatment responses were evaluated, and potential therapeutic compounds were identified through molecular docking. Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data and in vitro experiments were used to validate gene expression and functional characteristics. The in-hospital cohort revealed a higher proportion of EOLCC among EOCRC patients. Using the edgeR package and WGCNA, we identified coexpressed genes common to both EOLCC and MetS, significantly enriched in pathways associated with stromal remodeling and metabolic regulation. Machine learning algorithms highlighted three candidate biomarkers. Among them, only CD151 was associated with prognosis and advanced disease stage. CD151 was strongly correlated with stromal remodeling and chemoresistance. Additionally, potential therapeutic compounds targeting MetS-related EOLCC were identified via molecular docking. scRNA-seq analysis confirmed the expression and functional patterns of CD151, particularly in tumor cells. The bioinformatics results were further validated through quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR), western blotting, and immunohistochemical (IHC) staining. This study identified CD151 as a key biomarker in MetS-related EOLCC, offering valuable insights into prognosis, tumor biology, and personalized treatment strategies. CD151 may serve as a reference for future research and clinical applications targeting this disease subtype.

Genome-wide association studies and Mendelian randomization analyses provide insights into the causes of early-onset colorectal cancer.

Annals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology · 2024
R S Laskar、C Qu、J R Huyghe 等

BACKGROUND: The incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC; diagnosed <50 years of age) is rising globally; however, the causes underlying this trend are largely unknown. CRC has strong genetic and environmental determinants, yet common genetic variants and causal modifiable risk factors underlying EOCRC are unknown. We conducted the first EOCRC-specific genome-wide association study (GWAS) and Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses to explore germline genetic and causal modifiable risk factors associated with EOCRC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted a GWAS meta-analysis of 6176 EOCRC cases and 65 829 controls from the Genetics and Epidemiology of Colorectal Cancer Consortium (GECCO), the Colorectal Transdisciplinary Study (CORECT), the Colon Cancer Family Registry (CCFR), and the UK Biobank. We then used the EOCRC GWAS to investigate 28 modifiable risk factors using two-sample MR. RESULTS: We found two novel risk loci for EOCRC at 1p34.1 and 4p15.33, which were not previously associated with CRC risk. We identified a deleterious coding variant (rs36053993, G396D) at polyposis-associated DNA repair gene MUTYH (odds ratio 1.80, 95% confidence interval 1.47-2.22) but show that most of the common genetic susceptibility was from noncoding signals enriched in epigenetic markers present in gastrointestinal tract cells. We identified new EOCRC-susceptibility genes, and in addition to pathways such as transforming growth factor (TGF) β, suppressor of Mothers Against Decapentaplegic (SMAD), bone morphogenetic protein (BMP) and phosphatidylinositol kinase (PI3K) signaling, our study highlights a role for insulin signaling and immune/infection-related pathways in EOCRC. In our MR analyses, we found novel evidence of probable causal associations for higher levels of body size and metabolic factors-such as body fat percentage, waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio, basal metabolic rate, and fasting insulin-higher alcohol drinking, and lower education attainment with increased EOCRC risk. CONCLUSIONS: Our novel findings indicate inherited susceptibility to EOCRC and suggest modifiable lifestyle and metabolic targets that could also be used to risk-stratify individuals for personalized screening strategies or other interventions.

Predicting Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer in Individuals Below Screening Age Using Machine Learning and Real-World Data: Case Control Study

JMIR Cancer · 2024
Chengkun Sun、E. Mobley、Michael Quillen 等

Abstract Background Colorectal cancer is now the leading cause of cancer-related deaths among young Americans. Accurate early prediction and a thorough understanding of the risk factors for early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) are vital for effective prevention and treatment, particularly for patients below the recommended screening age. Objective Our study aims to predict EOCRC using machine learning (ML) and structured electronic health record data for individuals under the screening age of 45 years, with the aim of exploring potential risk and protective factors that could support early diagnosis. Methods We identified a cohort of patients under the age of 45 years from the OneFlorida+ Clinical Research Consortium. Given the distinct pathology of colon cancer (CC) and rectal cancer (RC), we created separate prediction models for each cancer type with various ML algorithms. We assessed multiple prediction time windows (ie, 0, 1, 3, and 5 y) and ensured robustness through propensity score matching to account for confounding variables including sex, race, ethnicity, and birth year. We conducted a comprehensive performance evaluation using metrics including area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and F1-score. Both linear (ie, logistic regression, support vector machine) and nonlinear (ie, Extreme Gradient Boosting and random forest) models were assessed to enable rigorous comparison across different classification strategies. In addition, we used the Shapley Additive Explanations to interpret the models and identify key risk and protective factors associated with EOCRC. Results The final cohort included 1358 CC cases with 6790 matched controls, and 560 RC cases with 2800 matched controls. The RC group had a more balanced sex distribution (2:3 male-to-female) compared to the CC group (2:5 male-to-female), and both groups showed diverse racial and ethnic representation. Our predictive models demonstrated reasonable results, with AUC scores for CC prediction of 0.811, 0.748, 0.689, and 0.686 at 0, 1, 3, and 5 years before diagnosis, respectively. For RC prediction, AUC scores were 0.829, 0.771, 0.727, and 0.721 across the same time windows. Key predictive features across both cancer types included immune and digestive system disorders, secondary malignancies, and underweight status. In addition, blood diseases emerged as prominent indicators specifically for CC. Conclusions Our findings demonstrate the potential of ML models leveraging electronic health record data to facilitate the early prediction of EOCRC in individuals under 45 years. By uncovering important risk factors and achieving promising predictive performance, this study provides preliminary insights that could inform future efforts toward earlier detection and prevention in younger populations.

Predicting Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer in Individuals Below Screening Age Using Machine Learning and Real-World Data

medRxiv · 2024
C. Sun、E. Mobley、M. Quillen 等

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is now the leading cause of cancer-related deaths among young Americans. Our study aims to predict early-onset CRC (EOCRC) using machine learning (ML) and structured electronic health record (EHR) data for individuals under the screening age of 45. Methods: We identified a cohort of patients under 45 from the OneFlorida+ Clinical Research Consortium. Given the distinct pathology of colon cancer (CC) and rectal cancer (RC), we created separate prediction models for each cancer type with various ML algorithms. We assessed multiple prediction time windows (0, 1, 3, and 5 years) and ensured robustness through propensity score matching (PSM) to account for confounding variables. Model performance was assessed using established metrics. Additionally, we employed the Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to identify risk factors for EOCRC. Results: Our study yielded results, with Area Under the Curve (AUC) scores of 0.811, 0.748, 0.689, and 0.686 for CC prediction, and 0.829, 0.771, 0.727, and 0.721 for RC prediction at 0, 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. Notably, predictors included immune and digestive system disorders, along with secondary cancers and underweight, prevalent in both CC and RC groups. Blood diseases emerged as prominent indicators of CC. Conclusion: This study highlights the potential of ML techniques in leveraging EHR data to predict EOCRC, offering valuable insights for potential early diagnosis in patients who are below the recommended screening age.